Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.524342 0.600517 0.683081 0.779117 0.887646 1.006384 1.146029
2025-03-02 0.403666 0.505820 0.625903 0.777047 0.961747 1.179626 1.455620
2025-03-09 0.323928 0.441102 0.589499 0.790177 1.053279 1.385152 1.834001
2025-03-16 0.257364 0.379033 0.544264 0.783089 1.117110 1.564928 2.207466
2025-03-23 0.215158 0.340703 0.522500 0.801717 1.215709 1.801897 2.688349
2025-03-30 0.175567 0.297932 0.486252 0.792504 1.272019 1.986213 3.119737
2025-04-06 0.149651 0.270796 0.468018 0.805983 1.362030 2.228886 3.665666
2025-04-13 0.122813 0.236616 0.432281 0.784950 1.393384 2.384003 4.094654
2025-04-20 0.108783 0.221849 0.426061 0.811184 1.504280 2.676938 4.776386
2025-04-27 0.097774 0.210398 0.423447 0.842594 1.627094 3.002323 5.547498
2025-05-04 0.085733 0.194495 0.409780 0.851133 1.709168 3.265572 6.239160
2025-05-11 0.074729 0.178488 0.393095 0.850889 1.773895 3.503623 6.909780
2025-05-18 0.065311 0.164208 0.377885 0.851925 1.842488 3.758897 7.645341
2025-05-25 0.057208 0.151254 0.363284 0.851912 1.908813 4.017082 8.414678
2025-06-01 0.051422 0.142600 0.356592 0.867695 2.009460 4.352791 9.369961
2025-06-08 0.044947 0.130855 0.340869 0.860911 2.060924 4.594961 10.163472
2025-06-15 0.040991 0.124807 0.337517 0.881891 2.175617 4.978896 11.285386
2025-06-22 0.035923 0.114624 0.322288 0.872225 2.219526 5.217290 12.125479
2025-06-29 0.032685 0.108921 0.317437 0.887232 2.322526 5.594071 13.299567
2025-07-06 0.028255 0.098667 0.298818 0.864392 2.331785 5.763073 14.033289
2025-07-13 0.026362 0.095824 0.299889 0.893208 2.471633 6.243090 15.511404
2025-07-20 0.024821 0.093782 0.302882 0.927646 2.629859 6.781314 17.172792
2025-07-27 0.022616 0.089012 0.297141 0.937037 2.724460 7.177714 18.539453